Friday, April 14, 2017

Boundless Thirst for Surplus-Labor

September 22, 1956
November 7, 1960
QUESTION. This is from Mr. White, Warren, Mich. 
What is your stand on the 32-hour workweek?
Vice President NIXON: Well, the 32-hour workweek just isn't a possibility at the present time. I made a speech back in the 1956 campaign when I indicated that as we went into the period of automation, that it was inevitable that the workweek was going to be reduced, that we could look forward to the time in America when we might have a 4-day week, but we can't have it now. We can't have it now for the reason that we find, that as far as automation is concerned, both because of the practices of business and labor, we do not have the efficiency yet developed to the point that reducing the workweek would not result in a reduction of production. The workweek can only be reduced at a time when reduction of the workweek will not reduce efficiency and will not reduce production.
It's inevitable... but we can't have it.

Dick Nixon's turnaround on the issue of the four-day workweek was epic. His original prediction of  a four-day week "in the not too distant future" came in a prepared speech, not in some unguarded moment of overheated campaign hyperbole. He even disclaimed that his "projections" were not "dreams or idle boasts" but were based on the continuation of President Eisenhower's economic policies.

Following up on Nixon's 1956 prediction, United Auto Workers president Walter Reuther responded with a telegram calling on the administration to outline a legislative program to achieve the shorter workweek. Nixon sent a telegram in reply and President Eisenhower endorsed Nixon's reply in a press conference on September 28.

Nixon's reply was that "mere artificial legislation" would not accomplish a four-day workweek. What was necessary was "dedicated joint efforts of labor, management, government and research." For his part, Eisenhower "saw nothing wrong with" Nixon's answer, which he thought also represented his own view that it would be "wonderful" to have more leisure time, but that "no man can say it is going to come about because I say so." A month after his first comment, Nixon reaffirmed his expectation of a shorter workweek, based on partnership between government, business and labor.

The adamant wording of Nixon's 1960 dismissal of the idea takes on added resonance in the context of Eisenhower's earlier caveat that "no man can say it is going to come about because I say so." Four years later, it "just isn't a possibility... we can't have it now. We can't have it now... [because I say so]."

This wouldn't be the first time that self-contradiction has appeared in the rhetoric of opposition to shorter work time. The Sandwichman has amassed the world's largest collection of lame excuses offered by opponents. I assembled 21 of them and sorted them into eight categories having to do with productivity, new consumer wants, unsatisfied needs, labor costs, government policy, self-adjusting markets, history and inevitability, and the devious motives of proponents.

To be kind, the rationales are opportunistic. Mostly, they are jejune partial equilibrium statements invoked as if they were eternal verities. More bluntly, they are mendacious. Every single reason given for not shortening the hours of work is complemented by a contradictory reason for not shortening the hours of work. Damned if you do and damned if you don't.


Regard the vagaries: the hours of work cannot be reduced because that would lower productivity; but if they were reduced, it wouldn't lower unemployment because the shorter hours would be just as productive as the longer hours. The hours of work don't have to be reduced because new consumer demands will create more jobs; but they cannot be reduced because there are so many unmet needs of those living in poverty. The economy will adjust automatically to reabsorb workers displaced by automation; and there is no need for government intervention because government policy will lubricate the self-adjustment process. History gives proof that future reductions are inevitable because in the past they always have occurred; but history shows that the economy has always generated sufficient jobs, implicitly without any need for reducing the hours of work. Contemplate the inconsistencies:
Productivity
  • The workweek can only be reduced at a time when reduction of the workweek will not reduce efficiency and will not reduce production.
  • It would throttle at the source the gains in productivity made possible by technological progress, thus shutting off the abundance through which the eventual abolition of poverty must come. Its end result would be fewer jobs, not more.
  • ...the illusion [job creation] arises, first, from simply not observing or apparently caring to observe the important alteration which the introduction of shorter hours itself exerts on the productive capacity of the workpeople...
  • The natural effect of shortening the hours of work to eight a day, therefore, is not in the least to diminish production; it is really the exception when that event supervenes, and as for the most part the same staff does about the same work as before, there is nothing to create any change in the situation of the unemployed...
New Consumer wants
  • This view ignores the possibilities for new consumer wants and new industries in stimulating growth and creating more jobs.
  • In fact, if people worked fewer hours, demand would drop, and so fewer working hours would be on offer. 
  • Over the long run, technological improvements create new products and services, raise national income, and increase demand for labor throughout the economy.
Unsatisfied needs
  • What the drive to shorten the work week ignores is that the country cannot afford it, either in terms of production costs or of unsatisfied national and world needs. 
  • ...by working less, we will throw away the opportunity automation and other improvements in technology afford to banish poverty at home or abroad.
Labor costs
  • This view ignores the possibility that the demand for labour may depend on the relation between wage rates and the value of work to employers. 
  • However, if restrictions on hours make labor less attractive to employers, they will substitute to other inputs, and there will also be a scale effect reducing use of all inputs.
  • The unemployed are apparently to obtain employment from capital which only comes into being as the result of their employment; they are to provide a handle to their axe from the tree they hew with it...
Government policy
  • If proper monetary, fiscal, and pricing policies are being vigorously promulgated, we need not resign ourselves to mass unemployment. 
  • Though technological unemployment can't be shrugged off lightly, its optimal solution lies in combining expansionary macroeconomic programs (fiscal and monetary policies) with retraining policies that create adequate job opportunities and new skills, rather than restrictions on production.
  • So what will happen if we use shorter hours to cut unemployment? Inflation will rise more than it would otherwise. Two responses are then possible. One could say, 'Bravo  We have cut unemployment and we are willing to accept the rising inflation." But if this is the reaction, it would obviously have been better to cut unemployment by expanding output than by simply redistributing a given amount of work over more people. So there is no case for shorter working hours along that route. Along the alternative route the outlook is even bleaker. In this scenario the government sees inflation rising, decides it is unacceptable, and allows unemployment to rise back to its original level (so as to control inflation). The net result of shorter working hours is then no reduction in unemployment, but a reduction in output.
Self-adjusting markets
  • ...a permanent and a more or less general reduction in hours will cut down the amount of technological unemployment. ... The transition will without any doubt lessen the amount of unemployment for the time being. But when once the new level is reached and the necessary adjustments in industry have been made, there is no reason for believing that the volume of unemployment will continue to be less than it had been. 
  • Trade is not hemmed in by great walls, beyond which it cannot go. By bringing our goods cheaper and better to market, we open new markets, we get new customers, we encrease the quantity of labour necessary to supply these, and thus we are encouraged to push on, in hope of still new advantages. A cheap market will always be full of customers.
History and inevitability
  • By 1980, the thirty-hour work-week should be widely established and some progress made toward the twenty-five-hour week.
  • History provides little support for this gloomy view... that the economy can generate only a fixed amount of work.
Devious motives of advocates
  • Their aim and object is, in every case which we have been enabled to investigate, to stint the action of superior physical strength, moral industry, or intelligent skill; to depress the best workman in order to protect the inferior workman from competition...
  • ...motives very different from these [proclaimed reasons] actuate many who most earnestly appeal to the State to impose a legal limit upon the days work.
Implicit in much of this pretentious double talk is the notion that consumer demand is utterly independent of wages, so "the economy" can become more prosperous by lowering wages. Apparently, economists are still so enamored of Say's Law that they haven't paused to consider the implications of Say's other law -- that "misery is the inseparable companion of luxury."

But there is one perspective from which coherence can be divined from all this self-serving ad hocery. Unwittingly, the opponents of work time reduction adopt a theory of surplus value very much like that elaborated by Karl Marx in Capital. It is not a matter of whether such a theory adequately describes the determination of value or of prices. Right or wrong, the theory guides opponents' attitude toward the reduction of working time. They are accidental Marxists!

Replace "collective capital" with "the economy" and "collective labor" with "fallacy adherents" in the following declaration and we have a fine slogan for The Economist's unrelenting campaign against the lump of labor fallacy."Hence it is that in the history of capitalist production, the determination of what is a working day, presents itself as the result of a struggle, a struggle between collective capital, i.e., the class of capitalists and collective labor, i.e., the working class."

Marx summarized the relationship between the production of absolute surplus value and of relative surplus value in the following passage:
Assuming that labour-power is paid for at its value, we are confronted by this alternative: given the productiveness of labour and its normal intensity, the rate of surplus-value can be raised only by the actual prolongation of the working-day; on the other hand, given the length of the working-day, that rise can be effected only by a change in the relative magnitudes of the components of the working-day, viz., necessary labour and surplus-labour; a change which, if the wages are not to fall below the value of labour-power, presupposes a change either in the productiveness or in the intensity of the labour.
Of course labor is not always "paid for at its value" and neither the length of the working-day nor the productiveness of labour are givens. There is a continuous tension between efforts to lengthen or shorten the working day and to increase or relax the productiveness and/or intensity of work. Although analytically separable, these two processes are actually always simultaneously in play.

Thus, in the capitalist form of society in which exchange values predominate, rather than use values, there arises from the nature of production itself  a "boundless thirst for surplus-labour." To emphasize: this "boundless thirst"  does not arise from the needs or wants for goods and services of consumers but from the compounded compulsion of the capital accumulation process.

From the standpoint of this boundless thirst for surplus-labor, any attempt to limit the length of the working day or to impede the intensification of work, or hold onto part of the proceeds from it, must indeed appear as a irksome fixation on a "fixed amount of work," especially if "work" is understood to refer precisely to that portion of the working day that is expropriated by capital.

Let us now revisit Nixon's 1960 repudiation of the four-day workweek with a slight amendment.
The workweek can only be reduced at a time when reduction of the workweek will not impede capital's boundless thirst for surplus-labor. 

4 comments:

chrismealy said...

Sandwichman (Tom?), I've read your posts for years and years and I really really want to believe the lump of labor deal is a myth, and although your posts are interesting and often fun to read, I've never been convinced by quotes from old economists. Do you have a clear, basic explanation somewhere debunking the lump of labor? I feel like I've never completely understood the fundamental argument. Thanks.

Sandwichman said...

To me the simplest explanation is that the "fixed amount of work" is a simplifying assumption -- ceteris paribus, all else held equal. It is not a belief or assumption about reality.

It is mathematically certain that if all else is held equal, 40h*4n = 32h*5n, where h stands for hours and n for workers.

Economists do this kind of partial equilibrium analysis all the time and often mistake it for a description of reality. For example, if the minimum wage is increased, unemployment will rise. Rent controls cannot work because they discourage additions to the supply of rental housing. Comparative advantage. Ad infinitum.

The rebuttal that "there is not a fixed amount of work to be done" is correct in the case where somebody mistakes the conclusion based on a simplified assumption for reality.

The fallacy myth arises from the generalization from this specific rebuttal to the false claim that proposals for work time reduction are "based on" the simplified assumption.

Furthermore, critics who invoke the fallacy claim frequently are simply repeating it and don't really understand the nature of the argument they are making, so they embellish the fallacy claim with counter-arguments that are based on the same kind of simplified assumption that they criticizing. For example, "proposals for shorter hours are based on the assumption that unemployment can be reduced by spreading a fixed amount of work among more workers, but in reality this would increase labor costs which would result in more unemployment rather than less." Those "increased labor costs" and "more unemployment" however are merely other conclusions based on deductions from other simplified assumptions. They are not "reality."

Does this help? If not, can you explain where the explanation loses you?

missprism said...

Here's my answer. I can work less in my job, that of an independent literary agent, because I work faster now that I am older and wiser, and still manage to make as much money as I need. However, I am self-employed. My experience is not necessarily shared by other people. Employers also get rid of people who work less based on efficiencies that are teachable to cheaper labor. So my experience is not particularly generalizable to the whole society, in any kind of unified field theory of everything, or prediction about the future. Which at root, like philosophy, is what economics tries, always vainly, to be. It then sets about to ululate in these generalities endlessly. For some reason, society tolerates them, much as it tolerates people such as Ashley Judd.

Sandwichman said...

Reposted at naked capitalism as "Why You Can't Have a Shorter Workweek"

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2017/04/cant-shorter-workweek.html